⚠️ Rate Alert: October 3rd Deadline - Sigma Home Lending
⚠️ URGENT: October 3rd Jobs Report moves rates in 30 seconds - Are you ready?
📞 (734) 540-1915

The Fed Cut Rates.
Mortgages Went UP.

Why Rates Went UP After Fed Cut
⚡ 2-minute explanation

Fed cut 25bps on Sept 18. Rates jumped 24bps. October 3rd's jobs report will move rates again in seconds.

6.27%
Current Rate
+24bps
Since Fed Cut
60%↑
Refi Activity
Why Rates Went UP After Fed Cut
⚡ 2-minute explanation
Time Until October 3rd Jobs Report (8:30 AM ET)
14
Days
08
Hours
37
Minutes
42
Seconds

The Pattern Is Clear

Markets move before Fed announcements, not after. Here's what happened in September.

30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate

September 11-25, 2025 (Daily Rate Index)

6.45% 6.35% 6.25% 6.15% 6.05% Sep 4 Sep 8 Sep 11 Sep 13 Sep 15 Sep 16 Sep 18 Sept 16: 6.13% Smart Money Locks Sept 17: 2PM Fed Cuts 25bps Sept 18: 6.37% Rates Jump +24bps
Lowest Rate (6.13%)
Fed Cut
Current Rate (6.37%)

"Markets price in Fed moves weeks before announcements. When the Fed actually cuts, the 'buy the rumor, sell the news' effect often pushes rates higher. Smart money moves before, not after."

— Senior Mortgage Capital Markets Analyst
Q2 GDP Revised
3.8%
vs 3.3% expected - economy stronger than Fed thought
Jobless Claims
218K
vs 235K expected - labor market tighter than expected
10-Year Treasury
4.19%
Up from 4.04% pre-Fed - driving mortgage rates higher
Refi Applications
+60%
Year-over-year despite higher rates

Two Types of Borrowers on October 3rd

Which one will you be when rates move?

Not Ready

  • October 3rd: Rates drop
  • Frantically calls lender
  • Needs approval first
  • Process takes 7-10 days
  • Rates bounce back up
  • Opportunity missed forever

Ready

  • Already pre-approved
  • Watching rate movements
  • October 3rd: Rates drop
  • One call to lock
  • Rate secured in 30 seconds
  • Saving $100+ monthly

Three Dates Control Your Rate

Each report releases at 8:30 AM ET. Rates move instantly.

October 3
Jobs Report
Most critical data point. Strong report = rates up. Weak report = rates down. Decision in seconds.
October 15
CPI Inflation
Fed's preferred metric. Hot inflation complicates further cuts. Markets react instantly.
October 28-29
Fed Meeting
Next rate decision. Market expects another cut, but it may already be priced in.
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Loans in 2025
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Approval Time
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Common Questions

Everything you need to know about timing the market.

Why did rates go up after the Fed cut?
The Fed cut was already priced in before the announcement. Then strong GDP data (3.8% vs 3.3% expected) and low jobless claims (218K vs 235K expected) showed the economy was stronger than the Fed thought, pushing rates higher.
What happens on October 3rd?
The September Jobs Report releases at 8:30 AM ET. As the Fed's most watched indicator after explicitly citing "downside risks to employment," this data will validate or challenge their rate cut. Markets will react within seconds.
Should I wait for more Fed cuts?
The Fed may cut again October 28-29, but as we saw in September, Fed cuts don't guarantee lower mortgage rates. The 10-year Treasury (which drives mortgage rates) moves on economic data, not Fed policy alone.
How fast does approval take?
Full approval in 24-48 hours with complete documentation. But you need approval BEFORE rates move. Starting after October 3rd means missing the opportunity if rates drop.

"The September Jobs Report on October 3rd is now the most important near-term indicator. After the Fed cited a weakening labor market as rationale for cutting, this report will be the first major test of that thesis."

— Capital Markets Director, Major Mortgage Lender

October 3rd Won't Wait For You

Getting approved takes 48 hours. Missing the opportunity lasts forever. Smart money is already moving.